NEW YORK AND TORONTO
—
Employees at Algoma Steel Inc. have seen some tough
times. Twice in the past decade, the Sault Ste. Marie,
Ont.-based steel maker has claimed court protection from
creditors. Just 18 months ago, it laid off 600 people,
roughly one-fifth of its work force. But last July, the
remaining Algoma workers reaped the rewards of
retrenchment. Flush with cash from booming steel prices --
up 21/2 times from 2003 levels -- the company distributed
profit-sharing cheques worth up to $10,000 each to every
one of its 3,000 employees.
Algoma is hardly the only manufacturer enjoying the
boom. Fuelled by rising demand, especially in China, and
made leaner through aggressive cost cutting in the hard
times, steel companies across North America -- indeed,
around the world -- have enjoyed record prices and profits
this year.
But for Algoma, the bounty brings its own dangers.
Small by global standards, the company has become a fat
target for predatory investors who, tempted by its
swelling cash hoard, could either run the company or find
an international buyer for its efficient mills. Earlier
this week, Algoma took defensive action -- announcing a
shareholder rights plan designed to thwart anyone from
gaining control at bargain prices.
In an interview, Algoma's chief executive officer
Denis Turcotte said he wasn't responding to any specific
takeover bid, but to the new drive for consolidation in
the international steel industry. "We want to make
sure that if this company is going to be bought, we
maximize shareholder value, plain and simple," he
said.
Mr. Turcotte knows what every industry executive
knows: There are just too many steel companies in the
world. And while strong demand is making them profitable,
it won't slow the momentum of the rationalization that
will fundamentally alter the steel-making landscape. In
fact, many analysts believe that over time, the industry
will eventually amalgamate into a dozen or so global
behemoths -- much as the auto and pharmaceutical
industries have done.
The challenge for any steel company, of course, is
to decide whether to eat or be eaten. The alternative is
to go it alone in a global market, which, according to
most analysts and industry executives, will require firms
to have international scale and scope to survive the
inevitable cycles.
The aim of consolidation is to put steel companies
on a more competitive footing with their raw material
suppliers -- oligopolistic purveyors of iron ore, coal and
electricity -- and to gain some pricing power over their
own customers.
One example of the trend: Russian steel maker OAO
Severstal is now vying with Germany's Deutsche Bank AG
and, potentially, other bidders for control of Hamilton's
Stelco Inc. Just 10 months ago, Canada's largest steel
producer sought protection from creditors, amid fears it
was running out of cash. Today, while it remains under the
bankruptcy umbrella, it is highly profitable and a
sought-after asset.
The industry "needs far more
consolidation," Thomas Veraszto, Severstal's deputy
general director, said in an interview in Toronto, where
he's leading the Russian steel giant's effort to buy
Stelco.
At the moment, the steel industry's fragmented
nature means manufacturers are squeezed at both ends,
suppliers and buyers. Three major players dominate the
global iron ore market and can exercise powerful pricing
leverage over their steel maker customers.
And while auto makers -- the key end customer for
the steel companies -- constitute less of an oligopoly
than iron ore, the industry remains heavily concentrated.
The Detroit-based Big Three, for example, hold almost 60
per cent of the North American market, enabling them to
pressure steel makers to keep prices low.
"We have to make this playing field
level," Mr. Veraszto insists, "and have a fair
relationship between the steel industry and its
customers."
David Sutherland, CEO of Regina-based Ipsco Inc. and
current chairman of the American Iron and Steel Institute,
says steel companies -- and their employees -- are
deluding themselves if they think they can avoid internal
restructuring simply because the market is suddenly
overheated.
"For some of these companies," he said in
an interview, "this recovery came six months too
soon. There are clearly some companies out there who,
while everyone is making a dime today, are going to be
very challenged across the cycle if they don't find a way
of becoming more competitive."
Mr. Sutherland said the major world players are
determined to gain pricing power and to lower their costs
through acquisitions. Within the next two decades, he
expects, the world market will be dominated by six to 12
global firms, compared with dozens today.Already, the pace
of international mergers is quickening. Last month, the
British-based Mittal family and New York financier Wilbur
Ross announced a bold move to merge their assets, creating
the world's largest steel company, with 57 million tonnes
of output a year and projected revenue of more than
$31-billion (U.S